Bears vs Packers Predictions

NFL: Chicago Bears at Green Bay PackersTonight’s Thursday night game is another installment of the longest running rivalry in the NFL. Both teams are coming off overtime victories at home, and look to build off the wins on a short week. While it may not be the shootout that Rams/49ers ended up being last Thursday, this could be a pretty fun NFC North showdown.

Mike Glennon once again gets the call for the Bears at quarterback and has been unspectacular through three starts. Granted, the Bears receiving corps is banged up from what it was supposed to be but Glennon has been dinking and dunking through the first three weeks. For that reason, the Bears like this past Sunday figure to go run heavy. Jordan Howard projects to see the most touches, but if the Packers get up early, odds are the volume will decrease. Still, the Packers run defense has been vulnerable the past two weeks so he should be in all fantasy lineups. Tarik Cohen has continued to get more involved in the Bear offense and he’s actually the player Glennon has targeted the most through three weeks. With big play ability and contributions as a pass catcher, Cohen is extremely valuable in PPR leagues, and at the least should be a flex option in standard ones.

Bears wideouts were targeted four (yes, four) times last Sunday. From a fantasy perspective, you’ll want to avoid this group as a whole but the Packers secondary has had some trouble, so between Kendall Wright, Deonte Thompson and Markus Wheaton, it wouldn’t surprise me if one put together a solid performance. Zach Miller is a player Glennon has looked to frequently and could see a decent amount of targets as well. The Packers have fared well against tight ends to this point though, so Miller for fantasy purposes can probably be left alone.

At this point, we’re running out of ways to say how great Aaron Rodgers is.  We’re lucky to get to watch him and he’s the type of player younger fans will even be telling their future grandchildren about at some point. Even with recent offensive line injuries leading to more Rodgers sacks of late, there is no reason to be concerned. So far, number one receivers have feasted against the Bears, so the potential for a huge night is there for Jordy Nelson. Slated to be targeted regardless, you can safely lock Nelson in all fantasy lineups. Before he missed last Sunday’s game, Randall Cobb was leading the Packers in targets. He is worth looking at in all league’s especially in PPR formats. Davante Adams is a little too touchdown dependent for my liking when it comes to fantasy football, but the potential is always there for a big game.

To this point, the Packers running game begins and ends with Ty Montgomery. The Bears defense has actually been stingy against the run despite matchups against the likes of Devonta Freeman and Le’Veon Bell, so it could be tough sledding. However, a positive game script would lead to more touches for Montgomery, and his obvious value as a receiver obviously means he should be good to go for fantasy owners.

A lot of this game is going to come down to who is able to control the tempo. If the Bears are able to get their combination of Howard and Cohen going, it not only jump starts the offense, but keeps Rodgers of the field. However, that would require Glennon on occasion to step up and make some big throws, and I’m not confident enough in him to think he could go score for score with the Packers. My prediction is Bears 20 Packers (-7.5) 30 

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